Georgia Southern vs South Alabama 10/14/2021

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Georgia Southern winning 51% of simulations, and South Alabama 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Georgia Southern commits fewer turnovers in 30% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. South Alabama wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Logan Wright is averaging 188 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (44% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Jared Wilson is averaging 60 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is USA -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 50
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